Global Macro
Statistical
Arbitrage
Arnott-Montessori is a proprietary trading fund that combines real-time geopolitical intelligence with statistical arbitrage models to exploit mispricings in global prediction markets. We time entries using macro regime analysis and execute with systematic precision.
Global Macro
Timing & Stat Arb
2021
Founded
Global Macro
Strategy
Statistical Arbitrage
Edge
Delaware, USA
Domicile
How We Trade
We operate at the intersection of geopolitical intelligence, statistical modeling, and precision timing to extract alpha from global event-driven markets.
Global Macro Intelligence
Our proprietary intelligence systems identify macro regime shifts and their downstream impact on prediction markets before consensus forms.
Statistical Arbitrage
We exploit persistent mispricings between prediction market odds and true event probabilities, using calibrated confidence models to capture edge where the crowd systematically over- or under-prices outcomes.
Precision Timing
Our systems identify the optimal moment to enter and exit positions by synthesizing intelligence velocity, market microstructure, and probability convergence patterns across global event markets.
Risk-First Architecture
Every trade passes through a multi-layer risk framework with hard kill switches, dynamic position limits, and drawdown circuit breakers. Capital preservation is the foundation, not an afterthought.
Built for Edge
Learn how our proprietary intelligence pipeline, statistical models, and timing systems work together to generate consistent returns in global prediction markets.